Combat Edge Intelligence

Devin Clark vs Luke Fernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Devin Clark
us

Devin Clark

“Brown Bear”

14-9-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record6-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamDante Rivera BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Devin ClarkNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Luke FernandezNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
32
54%
Strike accuracy
100%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
44%
Strike defense
100%
2.17
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
0%
0.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Devin ClarkLuke Fernandez
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (64%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Fernandez71%
Devin Clark 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Fernandez a 71% favorite over Devin Clark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1612), separated by just 3 points.

Devin Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Devin Clark finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Luke Fernandez 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.