Devin Smyth vs Jan Stanovský
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Devin SmythJan Stanovský
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jan Stanovský60%
Devin Smyth 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jan Stanovský a 60% favorite over Devin Smyth in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Devin Smyth's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1612), separated by just 3 points.
Devin Smyth finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jan Stanovský 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.