Devin Smyth vs Mayton Perea
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach79"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1682 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamDC Team Machala
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Devin SmythMayton Perea
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Devin Smyth67%
Mayton Perea 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Devin Smyth a 67% favorite over Mayton Perea in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mayton Perea's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.
Devin Smyth enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mayton Perea enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Devin Smyth finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Mayton Perea 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.