Devin Smyth vs Nah-Shon Burrell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record19-12-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1682 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Devin SmythNah-Shon Burrell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nah-Shon Burrell53%
Devin Smyth 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nah-Shon Burrell a 53% favorite over Devin Smyth in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Devin Smyth's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1597), separated by just 0 points.
Devin Smyth enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Devin Smyth finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nah-Shon Burrell 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.