Devin Smyth vs Oualy Tandia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record5-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1677 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamUS Metro Bizot
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Devin SmythOualy Tandia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Devin Smyth53%
Oualy Tandia 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Devin Smyth a 53% favorite over Oualy Tandia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Oualy Tandia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1612), separated by just 2 points.
Oualy Tandia enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Devin Smyth finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Oualy Tandia 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.