Devonte Smith vs Khama Worthy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record20-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
76"Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamThe Academy Pittsburgh
What's at stake
Devonte Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Khama Worthy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1686
If they lose-18→ 1654
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Devonte SmithKhama Worthy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Devonte Smith75%
Khama Worthy 25%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Devonte Smith a 75% favorite over Khama Worthy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Devonte Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1631, a 41-point edge.
Devonte Smith enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Khama Worthy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Devonte Smith finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Khama Worthy 70%.
Devonte Smith and Khama Worthy share 1 common opponent: Jamie Mullarkey.
Devonte Smith carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.