Combat Edge Intelligence

Diana Belbiţă vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record16-10-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'3"
68"Reach 64"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
House of Champions MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Karolina Kowalkiewicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Diana Belbiţă carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Diana BelbiţăNow 1539
If they win+20→ 1559
If they lose-12→ 1527
Karolina KowalkiewiczNow 1631
If they win+9→ 1640
If they lose-15→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
5.54
43%
Strike accuracy
43%
6.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.51
52%
Strike defense
58%
0.91
Takedown avg.
0.31
63%
Takedown accuracy
23%
66%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Diana BelbiţăKarolina Kowalkiewicz
155016001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
4 (27%)
Submission
3 (19%)
5 (33%)
Decision
12 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Karolina Kowalkiewicz62%
Diana Belbiţă 38%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Karolina Kowalkiewicz a 62% favorite over Diana Belbiţă in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Karolina Kowalkiewicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1539, a 92-point edge.

Diana Belbiţă enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Diana Belbiţă finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Karolina Kowalkiewicz 25%.

Diana Belbiţă carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.