Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Brandao vs Piotr Kacprzak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-21-0Record14-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
38,0"Reach76"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamCross Fight Radom

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego BrandaoNow 1604
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
Piotr KacprzakNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
3.21
Takedown avg.
TBD
68%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
81%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diego BrandaoPiotr Kacprzak
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (55%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
6 (21%)
Submission
5 (36%)
7 (24%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Piotr Kacprzak63%
Diego Brandao 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Piotr Kacprzak a 63% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1607), separated by just 3 points.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Piotr Kacprzak enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Kacprzak 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.