Diego Esteche vs Elez Guri
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Elez Guri64%
Diego Esteche 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Elez Guri a 64% favorite over Diego Esteche in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Esteche's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1531), separated by just 2 points.
Elez Guri enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record2-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"HeightTBD
-Reach-
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
If they win+24→ 1555
If they lose-24→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego EstecheElez Guri