Diego Giangirolami vs Nikolaj Makarenko
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Diego Giangirolami60%
Nikolaj Makarenko 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Giangirolami a 60% favorite over Nikolaj Makarenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nikolaj Makarenko's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1498), separated by just 2 points.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record1-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeightTBD
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeightTBD
TeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1520
If they lose-24→ 1472
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diego GiangirolamiNikolaj Makarenko