Diego Lopes vs Lerone Murphy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record17-1-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"Reach73"
161 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamManchester Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
If they win+16→ 1807
If they lose-16→ 1775
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego LopesLerone Murphy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Diego Lopes and Lerone Murphy within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1791), separated by just 10 points.
Diego Lopes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Lerone Murphy 47%.
Diego Lopes and Lerone Murphy share 2 common opponents: Dan Ige and Movsar Evloev.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.