Diego Lopes vs Movsar Evloev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-8-0Record20-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72"Reach72"
161 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Movsar Evloev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Diego Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1796
If they lose-9→ 1772
If they win+12→ 1871
If they lose-20→ 1839
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego LopesMovsar Evloev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Movsar Evloev63%
Diego Lopes 37%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Evloev a 63% favorite over Diego Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Movsar Evloev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1859 to 1781, a 78-point edge.
Movsar Evloev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Diego Lopes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Movsar Evloev 35%.
Diego Lopes and Movsar Evloev share 1 common opponent: Dan Ige.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.