Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Lopes vs Patricio Pitbull

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

28-8-0Record37-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'6"
72"Reach65"
161 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego LopesNow 1781
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
Patricio PitbullNow 1783
If they win+12→ 1795
If they lose-12→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.83
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
48%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
46%
Strike defense
58%
0.88
Takedown avg.
1.49
50%
Takedown accuracy
33%
69%
Takedown defense
89%
1.38
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Diego LopesPatricio Pitbull
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (43%)
KO/TKO
12 (32%)
12 (43%)
Submission
12 (32%)
4 (14%)
Decision
13 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Lopes62%
Patricio Pitbull 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Lopes a 62% favorite over Patricio Pitbull in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patricio Pitbull's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1783), separated by just 2 points.

Diego Lopes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Patricio Pitbull 65%.

Diego Lopes and Patricio Pitbull share 1 common opponent: Dan Ige.

Diego Lopes carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDECISION - UNANIMOUS · 2024
Dan Ige
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025