Combat Edge Intelligence

Dione Barbosa vs Estefani Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kings MMATeamCarioca Team Manaus

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dione BarbosaNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Estefani AlmeidaNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
45%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.07
64%
Strike defense
42%
2.40
Takedown avg.
0
8%
Takedown accuracy
0%
64%
Takedown defense
0%
1.74
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dione BarbosaEstefani Almeida
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (22%)
5 (50%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Dione Barbosa70%
Estefani Almeida 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Dione Barbosa a 70% favorite over Estefani Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Estefani Almeida's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1638), separated by just 4 points.

Dione Barbosa enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Estefani Almeida enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dione Barbosa finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Estefani Almeida 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.