Dione Barbosa vs Melissa Gatto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record9-3-2
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Dione Barbosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Melissa Gatto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1647
If they lose-19→ 1615
If they win+28→ 1599
If they lose-20→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dione BarbosaMelissa Gatto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melissa Gatto53%
Dione Barbosa 47%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 53% favorite over Dione Barbosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dione Barbosa's way (41%).
Dione Barbosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1571, a 63-point edge.
Dione Barbosa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dione Barbosa finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Gatto 78%.
Melissa Gatto carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.