Combat Edge Intelligence

Dione Barbosa vs Melissa Gatto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record9-3-2
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Kings MMATeamMSP

What's at stake

Dione Barbosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Melissa Gatto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dione BarbosaNow 1634
If they win+13→ 1647
If they lose-19→ 1615
Melissa GattoNow 1571
If they win+28→ 1599
If they lose-20→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
45%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
64%
Strike defense
54%
2.40
Takedown avg.
1.47
8%
Takedown accuracy
29%
64%
Takedown defense
64%
1.74
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Dione BarbosaMelissa Gatto
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
5 (50%)
Submission
4 (44%)
5 (50%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Dione Barbosa79%
Melissa Gatto 21%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Dione Barbosa a 79% favorite over Melissa Gatto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Dione Barbosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1571, a 63-point edge.

Dione Barbosa enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dione Barbosa finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Gatto 78%.

Melissa Gatto carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.