Combat Edge Intelligence

Dione Barbosa vs Tereza Bledá

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record7-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kings MMATeamReinders MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dione BarbosaNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Tereza BledáNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.02
45%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.86
64%
Strike defense
47%
2.40
Takedown avg.
1.81
8%
Takedown accuracy
28%
64%
Takedown defense
83%
1.74
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Dione BarbosaTereza Bledá
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
4 (44%)
Submission
2 (29%)
5 (56%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dione Barbosa and Tereza Bledá within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1622), separated by just 7 points.

Dione Barbosa finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Tereza Bledá 57%.

Tereza Bledá carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.