Diyar Nurgozhay vs Luis Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'9"
74"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
If they win+24→ 1730
If they lose-24→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diyar NurgozhayLuis Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diyar Nurgozhay61%
Luis Hernandez 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 61% favorite over Luis Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1706), separated by just 0 points.
Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Luis Hernandez enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Luis Hernandez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.