Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rob Wilkinson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record20-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach80"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diyar NurgozhayRob Wilkinson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rob Wilkinson59%
Diyar Nurgozhay 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rob Wilkinson a 59% favorite over Diyar Nurgozhay in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diyar Nurgozhay's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1706), separated by just 0 points.
Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rob Wilkinson 90%.
Rob Wilkinson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.