Combat Edge Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Uran Satybaldiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamUluu Kyrgyz Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diyar NurgozhayNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Uran SatybaldievNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
50%
Strike accuracy
25%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
61%
Strike defense
45%
2.54
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Diyar NurgozhayUran Satybaldiev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (22%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Diyar Nurgozhay and Uran Satybaldiev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1686), separated by just 3 points.

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.

Uran Satybaldiev carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.