Diyar Nurgozhay vs Uran Satybaldiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1714
If they lose-17→ 1682
If they win+17→ 1703
If they lose-15→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Diyar NurgozhayUran Satybaldiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diyar Nurgozhay54%
Uran Satybaldiev 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 54% favorite over Uran Satybaldiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1686), separated by just 13 points.
Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.
Uran Satybaldiev carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.