Combat Edge Intelligence

Djorden Santos vs Murilo Bustamante

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record15-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
JAB PromotionsTeamBrazilian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Djorden SantosNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Murilo BustamanteNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
44%
Strike accuracy
33%
5.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.90
48%
Strike defense
60%
0.67
Takedown avg.
2.46
33%
Takedown accuracy
33%
87%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
1.23

Trajectory

Djorden SantosMurilo Bustamante
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
4 (36%)
Submission
4 (27%)
4 (36%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Djorden Santos62%
Murilo Bustamante 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Djorden Santos a 62% favorite over Murilo Bustamante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.

Djorden Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Murilo Bustamante 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.