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Combat Edge Intelligence

Djorden Santos vs Tim McKenzie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim McKenzie
us

Tim McKenzie

“The Wrecking Machine”

14-9-0MiddleweightSF

1610Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record14-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight174 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Djorden SantosNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Tim McKenzieNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.64
Sig. strikes / min
1.37
43%
Strike accuracy
54%
6.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
49%
Strike defense
45%
0.51
Takedown avg.
0
14%
Takedown accuracy
0%
85%
Takedown defense
29%
0
Submission avg.
2.06

Trajectory

Djorden SantosTim McKenzie
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
4 (36%)
Submission
5 (36%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Djorden Santos57%
Tim McKenzie 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Djorden Santos a 57% favorite over Tim McKenzie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1610), separated by just 0 points.

Djorden Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Djorden Santos finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tim McKenzie 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.