Djulia Ariana vs Hailey Cowan
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Hailey Cowan57%
Djulia Ariana 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Hailey Cowan a 57% favorite over Djulia Ariana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Djulia Ariana's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1534), separated by just 12 points.
Hailey Cowan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Djulia Ariana finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Hailey Cowan 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record7-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1569
If they lose-25→ 1521
If they win+17→ 1551
If they lose-15→ 1519
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Djulia ArianaHailey Cowan