Dmitriy Aryshev vs Nikita Krylov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov65%
Dmitriy Aryshev 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 65% favorite over Dmitriy Aryshev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1677), separated by just 2 points.
Nikita Krylov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dmitriy Aryshev finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-10-1Record31-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
-Reach77"
187 lbsWeight215 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dmitriy AryshevNikita Krylov