Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmytrii Hrytsenko vs Zach Scroggin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
N/AReach74"
159 lbsWeight183 lbs
Storm Fight ClubTeamMarathon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dmytrii HrytsenkoNow 1624
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
Zach ScrogginNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.80
TBD
Strike defense
69%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dmytrii HrytsenkoZach Scroggin
1500155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (22%)
Submission
2 (29%)
3 (33%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Dmytrii Hrytsenko51%
Zach Scroggin 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dmytrii Hrytsenko a 51% favorite over Zach Scroggin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Dmytrii Hrytsenko finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.