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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dom Mar Fan vs Gino van Steenis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dom Mar Fan
au

Dom Mar Fan

“Street Buddha”

9-3-0LightweightUFC

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75" Reach74"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Team Compton Training CentreTeamMMA Vlaardingen· 1682 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dom Mar FanNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Gino van SteenisNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
56%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
44%
Strike defense
Not available
2
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.33
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dom Mar FanGino van Steenis
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
3 (33%)
Submission
1 (11%)
5 (56%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Dom Mar Fan60%
Gino van Steenis 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dom Mar Fan a 60% favorite over Gino van Steenis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.

Gino van Steenis enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dom Mar Fan finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Gino van Steenis 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.