Dom Mar Fan vs Landry Ward
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75" Reach71"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Compton Training CentreTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dom Mar FanLandry Ward
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dom Mar Fan and Landry Ward within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.
Landry Ward enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Dom Mar Fan finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Landry Ward 45%.
Dom Mar Fan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.