Dom Mar Fan vs Rob McCullough
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75" ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight154 lbs
Team Compton Training CentreTeamHB Ultimate
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dom Mar FanRob McCullough
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dom Mar Fan66%
Rob McCullough 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dom Mar Fan a 66% favorite over Rob McCullough in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rob McCullough's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.
Rob McCullough enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dom Mar Fan finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Rob McCullough 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.