Combat Edge Intelligence

Domingo Pilarte vs Journey Newson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
6'0"Height5'5"
74,0"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Revolution DojoTeamImpact Jiu Jitsu

What's at stake

Journey Newson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Domingo Pilarte carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Domingo PilarteNow 1584
If they win+18→ 1602
If they lose-14→ 1570
Journey NewsonNow 1618
If they win+14→ 1632
If they lose-18→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.31
Sig. strikes / min
2.64
48%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
40%
Strike defense
65%
1.20
Takedown avg.
0.56
43%
Takedown accuracy
17%
55%
Takedown defense
44%
0.80
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Domingo PilarteJourney Newson
160016502020202120222023

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
4 (50%)
Submission
3 (30%)
2 (25%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Journey Newson60%
Domingo Pilarte 40%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Journey Newson a 60% favorite over Domingo Pilarte in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Journey Newson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1584, a 34-point edge.

Domingo Pilarte enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Journey Newson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Domingo Pilarte finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Journey Newson 60%.

Domingo Pilarte carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.