Dominick Cruz vs José Aldo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-4-0Record32-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1747 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick CruzJosé Aldo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Cruz56%
José Aldo 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Cruz a 56% favorite over José Aldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1788 vs 1781), separated by just 7 points.
José Aldo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dominick Cruz finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, José Aldo 56%.
Dominick Cruz and José Aldo share 2 common opponents: Marlon Vera and Pedro Munhoz.
José Aldo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.