Dominick Cruz vs Marlon Vera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-4-0Record23-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
Dominick Cruz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Marlon Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1797
If they lose-15→ 1773
If they win+15→ 1725
If they lose-9→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick CruzMarlon Vera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Cruz67%
Marlon Vera 33%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Cruz a 67% favorite over Marlon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Dominick Cruz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1710, a 78-point edge.
Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dominick Cruz finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 78%.
Dominick Cruz and Marlon Vera share 1 common opponent: Pedro Munhoz.
Marlon Vera carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.