Dominick Cruz vs Marlon Vera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-4-0Record24-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Dominick Cruz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marlon Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1798
If they lose-14→ 1774
If they win+14→ 1738
If they lose-10→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1742 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1757 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dominick CruzMarlon Vera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera56%
Dominick Cruz 44%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 56% favorite over Dominick Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dominick Cruz's way (41%).
Dominick Cruz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1724, a 64-point edge.
Dominick Cruz finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 79%.
Dominick Cruz and Marlon Vera share 1 common opponent: Pedro Munhoz.
Marlon Vera carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.