Combat Edge Intelligence

Dominick Reyes vs Edil Esengulov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dominick Reyes
us

Dominick Reyes

“The Devastator”

16-5-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1749Good
Edil Esengulov
kg

Edil Esengulov

“Issyk-Kul Dragon”

26-6-1Light HeavyweightACA

1744Good

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record26-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'6"
77"Reach-
205 lbsWeight187 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1643 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAlfa Profi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dominick ReyesNow 1749
If they win+16→ 1765
If they lose-16→ 1733
Edil EsengulovNow 1744
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.99
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
54%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
0.25
Takedown avg.
Not available
14%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
83%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.25
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dominick ReyesEdil Esengulov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
12 (46%)
2 (13%)
Submission
8 (31%)
4 (25%)
Decision
6 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Dominick Reyes68%
Edil Esengulov 32%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Reyes a 68% favorite over Edil Esengulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1744), separated by just 5 points.

Edil Esengulov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Edil Esengulov 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.