Dominick Reyes vs Edil Esengulov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record26-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'6"
77"Reach-
205 lbsWeight187 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamAlfa Profi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1765
If they lose-16→ 1733
If they win+12→ 1754
If they lose-12→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick ReyesEdil Esengulov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edil Esengulov71%
Dominick Reyes 29%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Edil Esengulov a 71% favorite over Dominick Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dominick Reyes's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1742), separated by just 7 points.
Edil Esengulov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Edil Esengulov 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.