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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dominick Reyes vs Navajo Stirling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dominick Reyes
us

Dominick Reyes

“The Devastator”

16-5-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1748Good

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record11-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
77"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dominick ReyesNow 1748
If they win+17→ 1765
If they lose-15→ 1733
Navajo StirlingNow 1761
If they win+15→ 1776
If they lose-17→ 1744

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.99
Sig. strikes / min
6.24
54%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
50%
Strike defense
58%
0.25
Takedown avg.
0.86
14%
Takedown accuracy
0%
83%
Takedown defense
71%
0.25
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dominick ReyesNavajo Stirling
16001700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
2 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (25%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dominick Reyes and Navajo Stirling within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1761), separated by just 13 points.

Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Navajo Stirling 64%.

Dominick Reyes and Navajo Stirling share 1 common opponent: Jan Błachowicz.

Navajo Stirling carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2020
Jan Błachowicz
WinTKO · 2026