Combat Edge Intelligence

Dominick Reyes vs Robert Whittaker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dominick Reyes
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Dominick Reyes

“The Devastator”

16-5-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1749Good

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record27-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight186 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamPMA Super Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dominick ReyesNow 1749
If they win+16→ 1765
If they lose-16→ 1733
Robert WhittakerNow 1752
If they win+12→ 1764
If they lose-12→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.39
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
54%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
50%
Strike defense
60%
0.29
Takedown avg.
0.73
29%
Takedown accuracy
10%
83%
Takedown defense
82%
0.29
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dominick ReyesRobert Whittaker
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
11 (41%)
2 (13%)
Submission
5 (19%)
4 (25%)
Decision
11 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dominick Reyes and Robert Whittaker within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1752), separated by just 3 points.

Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 59%.

Dominick Reyes and Robert Whittaker share 1 common opponent: Nikita Krylov.

Dominick Reyes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO · 2025
Nikita Krylov
WinTKO · 2026