Dominick Reyes vs Volkan Oezdemir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
77"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFight Move Academy
What's at stake
Dominick Reyes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Volkan Oezdemir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1764
If they lose-17→ 1732
If they win+17→ 1736
If they lose-15→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick ReyesVolkan Oezdemir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Reyes60%
Volkan Oezdemir 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Reyes a 60% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Dominick Reyes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1719, a 30-point edge.
Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.
Dominick Reyes and Volkan Oezdemir share 4 common opponents: Johnny Walker, Carlos Ulberg, Nikita Krylov and Jiří Procházka.
Dominick Reyes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.