Combat Edge Intelligence

Don'Tale Mayes vs Josh Parisian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-10-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
81"Reach79"
264 lbsWeight266 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamScorpion Fighting System· 1549 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don'Tale MayesNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Josh ParisianNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
43%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.88
47%
Strike defense
41%
0.59
Takedown avg.
0.98
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
47%
Takedown defense
46%
0
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Don'Tale MayesJosh Parisian
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (36%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Don'Tale Mayes59%
Josh Parisian 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Don'Tale Mayes a 59% favorite over Josh Parisian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1576), separated by just 0 points.

Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Josh Parisian 87%.

Don'Tale Mayes and Josh Parisian share 1 common opponent: Roque Martinez.

Don'Tale Mayes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Roque Martinez
WinDecision (split) · 2021