Don'Tale Mayes vs Josh Parisian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
81"Reach79"
264 lbsWeight266 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamScorpion Fighting System
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don'Tale MayesJosh Parisian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don'Tale Mayes59%
Josh Parisian 41%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Don'Tale Mayes a 59% favorite over Josh Parisian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1575), separated by just 5 points.
Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Josh Parisian 87%.
Don'Tale Mayes and Josh Parisian share 1 common opponent: Roque Martinez.
Don'Tale Mayes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.