Don'Tale Mayes vs Roque Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record18-9-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height5'10"
81"Reach72,0"
264 lbsWeight239 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamSpike 22
What's at stake
Roque Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Don'Tale Mayes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1597
If they lose-15→ 1565
If they win+11→ 1617
If they lose-13→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don'Tale MayesRoque Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don'Tale Mayes52%
Roque Martinez 48%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Don'Tale Mayes a 52% favorite over Roque Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roque Martinez's way (46%).
Roque Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1580, a 26-point edge.
Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Roque Martinez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Roque Martinez 67%.
Don'Tale Mayes and Roque Martinez share 1 common opponent: Josh Parisian.
Don'Tale Mayes carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.