Donald Cerrone vs Rafael dos Anjos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-17-0Record32-18-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
73"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1721
If they lose-12→ 1697
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Donald CerroneRafael dos Anjos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael dos Anjos65%
Donald Cerrone 35%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 65% favorite over Donald Cerrone in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Donald Cerrone's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1698), separated by just 11 points.
Donald Cerrone enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Donald Cerrone finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.
Donald Cerrone and Rafael dos Anjos share 2 common opponents: Alexander Hernandez and Leon Edwards.
Donald Cerrone carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.