Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Matt Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Brown
us

Matt Brown

“The Immortal”

24-19-0WelterweightUFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record24-19-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
70.50Reach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Matt BrownNow 1607
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
49%
Strike accuracy
55%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.92
59%
Strike defense
55%
2.93
Takedown avg.
1.68
44%
Takedown accuracy
47%
72%
Takedown defense
64%
0.60
Submission avg.
1.30

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaMatt Brown
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
16 (67%)
6 (38%)
Submission
6 (25%)
4 (25%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Dong Hyun Ma55%
Matt Brown 45%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 55% favorite over Matt Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1607), separated by just 8 points.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Matt Brown 92%.

Matt Brown carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.