Dong Hyun Ma vs Omar Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-11-3Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
70.50Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamThe Goat Shed Academy
What's at stake
Dong Hyun Ma is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Omar Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1602
If they win+17→ 1605
If they lose-15→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dong Hyun MaOmar Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dong Hyun Ma56%
Omar Morales 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 56% favorite over Omar Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Dong Hyun Ma holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1588, a 27-point edge.
Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Omar Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Omar Morales 64%.
Omar Morales carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.