Combat Edge Intelligence

Donovan Beard vs Rômulo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Off the Chain MMATeamW Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Donovan BeardNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Rômulo OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
0%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
29%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Donovan BeardRômulo Oliveira
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
3 (38%)
Submission
1 (14%)
3 (38%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rômulo Oliveira62%
Donovan Beard 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rômulo Oliveira a 62% favorite over Donovan Beard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Donovan Beard's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1549), separated by just 6 points.

Donovan Beard finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Rômulo Oliveira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.