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Combat Edge Intelligence

Donovan Beard vs Steven Hill

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Donovan Beard
us

Donovan Beard

“Don Don”

8-4-0MiddleweightRITC OKC

1545Average
Steven Hill
gb-eng

Steven Hill

“The Hillbilly Hammer”

7-4-0MiddleweightCWFC

1543Average

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Donovan BeardNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Steven HillNow 1543
If they win+16→ 1559
If they lose-16→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
0%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
29%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Donovan BeardSteven Hill
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
3 (38%)
Submission
3 (43%)
3 (38%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Hill55%
Donovan Beard 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Hill a 55% favorite over Donovan Beard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Donovan Beard's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1543), separated by just 2 points.

Donovan Beard enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Steven Hill enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Donovan Beard finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Steven Hill 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.