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Combat Edge Intelligence

Donte Johnson vs Hector Lombard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record34-11-1
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'9"
74"Reach71.00
209 lbsWeight185 lbs
Titletown MMATeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Donte JohnsonNow 1706
If they win+24→ 1730
If they lose-24→ 1682
Hector LombardNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
3.02
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.35
61%
Strike defense
53%
1.87
Takedown avg.
1.69
100%
Takedown accuracy
49%
77%
Takedown defense
77%
0.62
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Donte JohnsonHector Lombard
1600170018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
22 (65%)
1 (11%)
Submission
4 (12%)
1 (11%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson52%
Hector Lombard 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 52% favorite over Hector Lombard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1704), separated by just 2 points.

Donte Johnson enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Donte Johnson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Hector Lombard 76%.

Donte Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.