Combat Edge Intelligence

Donte Johnson vs Marco Tulio Silva Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record11-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
209 lbsWeight185 lbs
Titletown MMATeamTeam Paraiba

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Donte JohnsonNow 1681
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657
Marco Tulio Silva CostaNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.34
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
64%
Strike accuracy
51%
1.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.78
59%
Strike defense
58%
6.01
Takedown avg.
1.33
100%
Takedown accuracy
20%
80%
Takedown defense
0%
2
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Donte JohnsonMarco Tulio Silva Costa
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
1 (13%)
Submission
1 (9%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson53%
Marco Tulio Silva Costa 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 53% favorite over Marco Tulio Silva Costa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1676), separated by just 5 points.

Donte Johnson enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Donte Johnson finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio Silva Costa 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.