Douglas Rodrigues vs Trent Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record9-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-Reach72"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Douglas Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Trent Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1640
If they lose-25→ 1592
If they win+17→ 1613
If they lose-15→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas RodriguesTrent Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Douglas Rodrigues60%
Trent Miller 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Rodrigues a 60% favorite over Trent Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Douglas Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1596, a 21-point edge.
Douglas Rodrigues enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Douglas Rodrigues finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Trent Miller 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.