Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Rodrigues vs Trent Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trent Miller
us

Trent Miller

“The Terminator”

10-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1615Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1575 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Trent Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Douglas Rodrigues carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Douglas RodriguesNow 1589
If they win+26→ 1615
If they lose-22→ 1567
Trent MillerNow 1615
If they win+15→ 1630
If they lose-17→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Douglas RodriguesTrent Miller
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
1 (14%)
Submission
2 (20%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Trent Miller52%
Douglas Rodrigues 48%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Trent Miller a 52% favorite over Douglas Rodrigues in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Trent Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1589, a 26-point edge.

Trent Miller enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Douglas Rodrigues finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Trent Miller 90%.

Douglas Rodrigues carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.