Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Marlon Vera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marlon Vera
ec

Marlon Vera

“Chito”

23-12-1BantamweightUFC

1710Good

Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record23-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamTeam Oyama

What's at stake

Marlon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Douglas Silva de Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1615
If they win+20→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1603
Marlon VeraNow 1710
If they win+9→ 1719
If they lose-15→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.18
38%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.34
58%
Strike defense
50%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0.47
43%
Takedown accuracy
39%
73%
Takedown defense
72%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeMarlon Vera
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
2 (7%)
Submission
10 (43%)
7 (24%)
Decision
5 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Marlon Vera70%
Douglas Silva de Andrade 30%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 70% favorite over Douglas Silva de Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Marlon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1615, a 95-point edge.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 78%.

Marlon Vera carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.