Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Said Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-7-0Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamFight Club Akhmat
What's at stake
Said Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Douglas Silva de Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1636
If they lose-11→ 1604
If they win+11→ 1734
If they lose-21→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas Silva de AndradeSaid Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Said Nurmagomedov75%
Douglas Silva de Andrade 25%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 75% favorite over Douglas Silva de Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Said Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1615, a 108-point edge.
Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.
Douglas Silva de Andrade and Said Nurmagomedov share 1 common opponent: Cody Stamann.
Said Nurmagomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.