Combat Edge Intelligence

Dovlet Yagshimuradov vs Muhammad Saidov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-9-1Record10-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dovlet YagshimuradovNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Muhammad SaidovNow 1712
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dovlet YagshimuradovMuhammad Saidov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
4 (15%)
Submission
2 (20%)
8 (31%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Muhammad Saidov61%
Dovlet Yagshimuradov 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Saidov a 61% favorite over Dovlet Yagshimuradov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dovlet Yagshimuradov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1712), separated by just 1 points.

Muhammad Saidov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Dovlet Yagshimuradov finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Saidov 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.