Combat Edge Intelligence

Dovlet Yagshimuradov vs Rob Wilkinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-9-1Record20-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach80"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamHybrid Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dovlet YagshimuradovNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Rob WilkinsonNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.66
Not available
Strike defense
39%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4.47
Not available
Takedown accuracy
25%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dovlet YagshimuradovRob Wilkinson
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
4 (15%)
Submission
7 (35%)
8 (31%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Rob Wilkinson70%
Dovlet Yagshimuradov 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rob Wilkinson a 70% favorite over Dovlet Yagshimuradov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dovlet Yagshimuradov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1708), separated by just 4 points.

Dovlet Yagshimuradov finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Rob Wilkinson 90%.

Rob Wilkinson carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.