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Combat Edge Intelligence

Drakkar Klose vs Tom Nolan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tom Nolan
au

Tom Nolan

“Big Train”

11-1-0LightweightUFC

1726Good

Tale of the tape

16-4-1Record11-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'2"
70"Reach73"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Drakkar KloseNow 1728
If they win+16→ 1744
If they lose-16→ 1712
Tom NolanNow 1726
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.25
Sig. strikes / min
5.87
55%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.73
49%
Strike defense
48%
1.49
Takedown avg.
0.74
14%
Takedown accuracy
22%
69%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
1.86

Trajectory

Drakkar KloseTom Nolan
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (9%)
10 (63%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Tom Nolan55%
Drakkar Klose 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tom Nolan a 55% favorite over Drakkar Klose in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drakkar Klose's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1728 vs 1726), separated by just 2 points.

Tom Nolan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Drakkar Klose finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Tom Nolan 55%.

Tom Nolan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.