Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew Dober vs Jalin Turner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jalin Turner
us

Jalin Turner

“The Tarantula”

16-9-0LightweightUFC

1703Good

Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'3"
70″Reach77"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAdrenaline Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Drew DoberNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
Jalin TurnerNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
5.79
41%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
53%
Strike defense
42%
0.63
Takedown avg.
0.75
17%
Takedown accuracy
0%
58%
Takedown defense
75%
0.07
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Drew DoberJalin Turner
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (59%)
KO/TKO
12 (75%)
5 (17%)
Submission
4 (25%)
7 (24%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jalin Turner71%
Drew Dober 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jalin Turner a 71% favorite over Drew Dober in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1703), separated by just 2 points.

Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jalin Turner enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jalin Turner 100%.

Drew Dober and Jalin Turner share 2 common opponents: Renato Moicano and King Green.

Jalin Turner carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Renato Moicano
LossKO/TKO · 2024
WinKO · 2022
King Green
WinKO · 2023